10/12/2017 - Victor Davis Hanson Townhall.com
Almost a
half-century ago, in 1968, the United States seemed to be falling apart.
The Vietnam
War, a bitter and close presidential election, antiwar protests, racial riots,
political assassinations, terrorism and a recession looming on the horizon left
the country divided between a loud radical minority and a silent conservative
majority.
The United
States avoided a civil war. But America suffered a collective psychological
depression, civil unrest, defeat in Vietnam and assorted disasters for the next
decade -- until the election of a once-polarizing Ronald Reagan ushered in five
consecutive presidential terms of relative bipartisan calm and prosperity from
1981 to 2001.
It appears
as if 2017 might be another 1968. Recent traumatic hurricanes seem to reflect
the country's human turmoil.
After the
polarizing Obama presidency and the contested election of Donald Trump, the
country is once again split in two.
But this
time the divide is far deeper, both ideologically and geographically -- and
more 50/50, with the two liberal coasts pitted against red-state America in
between.
Century-old
mute stone statues are torn down in the dead of night, apparently on the theory
that by attacking the Confederate dead, the lives of the living might improve.
All the old
standbys of American life seem to be eroding. The National Football League is
imploding as it devolves into a political circus. Multimillionaire players
refuse to stand for the national anthem, turning off millions of fans whose
former loyalties paid their salaries.
Politics --
or rather a progressive hatred of the provocative Donald Trump -- permeates
almost every nook and cranny of popular culture.
The new
allegiance of the media, late-night television, stand-up comedy, Hollywood,
professional sports, and universities is committed to liberal sermonizing.
Politically correct obscenity and vulgarity among celebrities and entertainers
is a substitute for talent, even as Hollywood is wracked by sexual harassment
scandals and other perversities.
The smears
"racist," "fascist," "white privilege" and
"Nazi" -- like "commie" of the 1950s -- are so overused as
to become meaningless. There is now less free speech on campus than during the
McCarthy era of the early 1950s.
As was the
case in 1968, the world abroad is also falling apart.
The
European Union, model of the future, is unraveling. The EU has been paralyzed
by the exit of Great Britain, the divide between Spain and Catalonia, the
bankruptcy of Mediterranean nation members, insidious terrorist attacks in
major European cities and the onslaught of millions of immigrants -- mostly
young, male and Muslim -- from the war-torn Middle East. Germany is once again
becoming imperious, but this time insidiously by means other than arms.
The failed
state of North Korea claims that it has nuclear-tipped missiles capable of
reaching America's West Coast -- and apparently wants some sort of bribe not to
launch them.
Iran is
likely to follow the North Korea nuclear trajectory. In the meantime, its new
Shiite hegemony in the Middle East is feeding on the carcasses of Syria and
Iraq.
Is the
chaos of 2017 a catharsis -- a necessary and long overdue purge of dangerous
and neglected pathologies? Will the bedlam within the United States descend
into more nihilism, or offer a remedy to the status quo that had divided and
nearly bankrupted the country?
Is the
problem too much democracy, as the volatile and fickle mob runs roughshod over
establishment experts and experienced bureaucrats? Or is the crisis too little
democracy, as populists strive to dethrone a scandal-plagued, anti-democratic,
incompetent and overrated entrenched elite?
Neither
traditional political party has any answers.
Democrats
are being overwhelmed by the identity politics and socialism of progressives.
Republicans are torn asunder between upstart populist nationalists and the
calcified establishment status quo.
Yet for all
the social instability and media hysteria, life in the United States quietly
seems to be getting better.
The economy
is growing. Unemployment and inflation remain low. The stock market and
middle-class incomes are up.
Business
and consumer confidence are high. Corporate profits are up. Energy production
has expanded. The border with Mexico is being enforced.
Is the
instability less a symptom that America is falling apart and more a sign that
the loud conventional wisdom of the past -- about the benefits of a globalized
economy, the insignificance of national borders and the importance of identity
politics -- is drawing to a close, along with the careers of those who profited
from it?
In the
past, any crisis that did not destroy the United States ended up making it
stronger. But for now, the fight grows over which is more toxic -- the chronic
statist malady that was eating away the country, or the new populist medicine
deemed necessary to cure it.
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