Saturday, November 30, 2013

Reshaping The American Electorate







Middle American News   By Jerry Woodruff  (Part IV of IV)

GOP Already in Trouble
In an analysis of the political impact of immigration, political scientist Prof. James G. Gimpel of the University of Maryland noted that the prospects are not good for Republicans.

In his study, “Immigration, Political Realignment, and the Demise of Republican Political Prospects,” Gimpel said, “large scale immigration has caused a steady drop in presidential Republican vote shares throughout the country. Once politically marginal counties are now safely Democratic due to the propensity of immigrants, especially Latinos, to identify and vote Democratic.  The partisan impact of immigration is relatively uniform throughout the country, even though local Republican parties have taken different positions on illegal immigration.” 

Before he won the GOP presidential nomination, Sen. John McCain was a staunch advocate of amnesty for illegal aliens, and even supported making illegal alien workers eligible for Social Security benefits based on their illegal working history in the U.S.  But Hispanics still voted overwhelmingly against him.  

Mexican immigrants and their counterparts arriving from other Third World countries tend to fit the profile of the kind of poorer, low-skilled voter who traditionally supports Democrat candidates who favor more government-sponsored programs for welfare, health care, housing, education, and racial preferences such as “affirmative action” to give them preferred access to jobs and college admissions. 

The Pew Hispanic Center found, for example that an extremely high 81 percent of registered Hispanic voters believe that the government should provide health insurance to the poor.  Hispanics are also skeptical of the Republicans’ tax cut policies.  

Only 23 percent of registered Hispanic voters said President Bush’s tax cuts were a good idea, according to Pew.  McCain’s experience in 2008 confirms what opinion surveys reveal about Hispanic voters: they tend to prefer the Democrats’ overall political agenda.  In contrast to Republicans who are skeptical of expanding government programs, Hispanics tend to favor them.

 Democrats and their supporters in the corporate media hope to fool Republicans into backing amnesty for illegal aliens by urging them to compete for immigrant voters, instead of limiting immigrant arrivals. Left-wing pundits at newspapers such as the New York Times frequently “warn” Republicans not to offend the “growing Hispanic electorate” by supporting immigration control measures.  

Democrat strategist Creamer, for example, says that he thinks “the interests of the country require that the immigrant-friendly forces in the Republican Party stand up straight and join with Democrats,” but he admits, “as a progressive Democrat, I would like nothing better than to see the Republican Party marginalized...”

But to win over Hispanic voters, Republicans would have to mimic the Democrat Party in calling for the left-wing policies that Hispanics support — thus losing its identity and risking loss of its own more conservative and largely white base.

The conclusions in Prof. Gimpel’s study present a stark picture:  “past Republican votes in Congress in favor of a more generous immigration policy have unquestionably bolstered local Democratic majorities, and succeeded in stamping out Republican prospects in once politically competitive locales.”  Gimpel wrote, “Immigration may help Republican business interests hold down wages, but it also undermines the party’s political fortunes.”

If the plot to transform the U.S. is to be stopped, Americans must demand that their political leaders assert control over immigration policy to prevent it from being used as a political tool by left-wingers to manipulate America’s demographic make up for their own interests.



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